The Twins are 4-0! They’re going to win the World Series! The Rangers are 1-3! Here comes a 100-loss season! All these over-exaggerations are just part of the opening week of the Major League Baseball season.
Some hot or cold April starts can turn into something more. The Phillies started the 2016 season 24-17, leading some people to believe that a breakout was in the works. Despite this, the team regressed pretty heavily, going 47-74 in their final 121 games and finishing with a 71-91 record, about indicative of the talent they had on the team.
Before we start to consider the Twins contenders—although, nobody should be doing this because it’s just been four games—it’s important to have an understanding of the best way to evaluate a team beyond their win-loss record. Yes, record is still the No. 1 indicator of a team’s performance. After all, it’s what gets them into the postseason and determines their seeding. But, there are other ways to understand the strength of a team, which in turn helps us figure out who has the best chance to win the pennant and the World Series.
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