The doctor has some critics. How well can he pitch? Is he still as dominate as he was in 2011 or 2010? How is his health? Are there mechanical problems here? Look, remember Roy Halladay is still Roy Halladay. He is still the same guy who threw a perfect game and a no hitter in the same season. I think Roy Halladay will bounce back and finish in the top 5 for Cy Young Award Voting.
Don't believe me? Think about this:
In 2000, Roy Halladay had an ERA that was over 10.
In 2001, Roy Halladay was sent to the minors to work on his mechanics.
2002: 19 Game Winner, Sub 3 ERA
Still don't believe me? Doc has an ugly 6.75 ERA in 12 Innings this Spring, but has 10 Ks. In 2010, the season he threw 2 no-hitters, he had a 4 ERA with 19 Ks in 18 Innings that Spring. You could still say that Doc is too injury prone, or that he's too old to face younger hitters, but we are still talking about "Dominate Doc". I may be wrong, but I think Roy Halladay will bounce back this season. His first test is this Thursday against the Blue Jays.
Curtis Granderson, Mark Teixeira are down for the first few months of the season. A-Rod is one more year older. Derek Jeter can't keep his triumphant seasons. I think the Yankees will have troubles this season, especially since the Blue Jays and Orioles have been on the rise. I am sorry to say, but the Yankees will not make the playoffs this season.
After the Orioles have had their spirits lifted after their first playoff appearance in my lifetime, and the Blue Jays acquired big name, but smart, moves this offseason, it looks tough for the Yankees to compete in the division that they have ruled for a long time. Even the Red Sox have made some smart offseason acquisitions. But, you can pretty much forget about the Rays.
In a perfect world, the Yankees replacements will fare well enough, so that when their stars return, they will be in position for a fine year and make the playoffs.
We said that about the Phillies last year. Look what happened. Ryan Howard's and Chase Utley's injuries led to injuries of Roy Halladay. Vance Worley also had elbow problems last year. This was defianitely the domino effect.
I think the most reasonable answer for the Yankees is 86-76 and 3rd in the AL East. This means that I think that the Blue Jays and Orioles will finish 87 wins or above. And, yes I do.
Sorry Yankee fans!