The American League East is proven to be baseball's toughest division, with more teams over .500 than any other division (4 of 5). That has caused this division to be really tight, and it doesn't seem to loosen up. The Red Sox currently lead the division, with a 61-42 record, which ranks first in the American League. In second place, the second best team in the AL resides, the Tampa Bay Rays. They are white-hot right now, and have only lost three games in the month of July, giving them a record of 17-3 in their twenty July games. The Orioles (57-45), Yankees (53-48), and Blue Jays (45-55) follow the leaders, while the top three teams are separated by only 3.5 games.
Three teams in the AL East are projected to finish over 90 wins. The Baltimore Orioles are a good team, but they haven't played as good baseball as the teams ahead of them. The O's need to really fight for the second wild card spot, knowing that one of the two will probably come from their division. Francisco Rodriguez will help solidify the bullpen, so don't be suprised if you see the O's making a run down the stretch.
New York Yankees -- 53-48 (Projected finish: 83-79)
The Yankees will miss the playoffs this season, bet on it. Playing in the toughest divison doesn't help at all, and probably the most "unlucky" team in terms of injuries can't get any breaks this season. The New York Yankees are going to miss out, and have to wait until next year. Perhaps Alfanso Soriano could turn this season around, but it's highly unlikely that he can solve all the "big" problems that the Yankees have.
Toronto Blue Jays -- 45-55 (Projected finish: 70-92)
The Blue Jays were my pick to win the division earlier this year, because I thought they truly fixed some problems that they had, rather than just making a "Miami Marlins" splash. They just proved again that you can't go from worst to first by adding star players. You have to have the chemistry in some way or another. It's up to them if they want to do a "Miami Marlins" firesale at the deadline.