Also, rookies (or sophmores) are prone to go through cold streaks. Stephen Strasburg hasn't been on fire, and even though Moore has, he still has 5 months to fail. Matt Harvey has the same case. Both Matts may have had just good Aprils.
There is some backing to having Moore win the Cy Young. In 39 games (37 starts), Moore has a 1.27 WHIP, which is very impressive. And he already has pitched over 200 Innings (218.2 IP). Hitters have had plenty of time to adjust to Moore. So, he may just win it.